Published in

Oxford University Press (OUP), Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 4(491), p. 4768-4782, 2019

DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stz3295

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Estimating redshift distributions using hierarchical logistic Gaussian processes

Journal article published in 2019 by Markus Michael Rau ORCID, Simon Wilson, Rachel Mandelbaum ORCID
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.
This paper was not found in any repository, but could be made available legally by the author.

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This work uses hierarchical logistic Gaussian processes to infer true redshift distributions of samples of galaxies, through their cross-correlations with spatially overlapping spectroscopic samples. We demonstrate that this method can accurately estimate these redshift distributions in a fully Bayesian manner jointly with galaxy-dark matter bias models. We forecast how systematic biases in the redshift-dependent galaxy-dark matter bias model affect redshift inference. Using published galaxy-dark matter bias measurements from the Illustris simulation, we compare these systematic biases with the statistical error budget from a forecasted weak gravitational lensing measurement. If the redshift-dependent galaxy-dark matter bias model is mis-specified, redshift inference can be biased. This can propagate into relative biases in the weak lensing convergence power spectrum on the 10–30 per cent level. We, therefore, showcase a methodology to detect these sources of error using Bayesian model selection techniques. Furthermore, we discuss the improvements that can be gained from incorporating prior information from Bayesian template fitting into the model, both in redshift prediction accuracy and in the detection of systematic modelling biases.

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